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Ecology and Evolution

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Ecology and Evolution's content profile, based on 267 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.23% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Instructor Perspectives on Challenging Topics in Evolution Education and Their Implications for Game-Based Learning

Otto, J. L.; Goulet, L.; Kopack Ware, B.; Lowry, H.; Miller, A.-E.; Botello, J. D.; Pruett, J. E.; Beatty, A. E.

2026-07-10 scientific communication and education 10.64898/2026.07.06.736808 medRxiv
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Evolution is a foundational framework for understanding biology, yet it remains challenging to teach and learn. Game-based learning may offer one way to support evolution instruction by helping students visualize abstract, dynamic, and difficult-to-observe processes. In this study, we interviewed undergraduate biology instructors to examine how they evaluated video games as potential tools for evolution education, including which topics they perceived as most challenging for students. We found that instructors were broadly open to using video games for evolution instruction, particularly when games could support population-level reasoning, evolutionary mechanisms, speciation and phylogeny, quantitative reasoning, and long time scales. Instructors also emphasized that games must be scientifically accurate, accessible, and aligned with course learning goals. This study contributes an instructor-centered perspective to evolution education and game-based learning research by identifying how instructors connect persistent student learning challenges with potential design priorities for educational video games. Graphical Abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=113 SRC="FIGDIR/small/736808v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (24K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@175ce4corg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@13ae260org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@e44aceorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1eb1ef1_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Color polymorphism in the saddleback clownfish, Amphiprion polymnus: species or complex?

Fitzgerald, L. M.; Coulmance, F.; Marcionetti, A.; Gaboriau, T.; Garcia Jimenez, A.; Apag, P. T.; Versteeg, M.; Noble, F. J.; Gaffney, K.; Mercader, M.; Diola, A. G.; Geraldino, P. J.; Rueger, T.; Laudet, V.; Salamin, N.

2026-06-29 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.28.735040 medRxiv
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Color polymorphism can facilitate local adaptation, maintain intraspecific diversity, or reflect early stages of speciation. Clownfishes (Amphiprion spp.) typically display a simple black, orange, and white pattern, but the saddleback clownfish (Amphiprion polymnus) shows striking variation in melanism and the number of vertical bars, which are thought to play a role in species recognition. In 2024, a revision on iNaturalist split A. polymnus into multiple species based solely on color pattern and geographic range. This raises the question of whether these morphs represent true species or intraspecific polymorphism, which we tested using genomic and image-based data. We sampled 97 individuals from seven populations across the species range and quantified color patterns from standardized photographs. Phenotypic and genomic analyses reveal a complex pattern of divergence. Image analysis identified three distinct phenotypic clusters, with A. polymnus, A. annamensis, and A. laticlavius each showing consistent differences in saddle shape and vertical bar extent. ADMIXTURE resolved three distinct genetic groups corresponding to the morphs. Pairwise FST (0.54-0.71) and dxy indicate extremely high differentiation between A. polymnus and A. annamensis, consistent with species-level divergence, whereas A. laticlavius shows much lower differentiation from A. polymnus (FST 0.09-0.18) and higher differentiation from A. annamensis (FST 0.64-0.66). Overall, phenotypic and genomic data show structured variation, but the status of A. laticlavius remains ambiguous. Our study reveals clear and structured divergence across the full range, yet the taxonomic interpretation of this variation remains inherently challenging. The key question remains: do these patterns reflect a single polymorphic species or a complex of closely related species?

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Among-population variation in the threespine stickleback ( Gasterosteus aculeatus ) liver metabolome: effects of ancestry and environment

Dinh, F.;Grillo, M.;Tawfik, M.;Hendry, A.;Lind, A.;Milligan-McClellan, K.;Peichel, C.;Steinel, N.;Tseng, Y.;Weber, J.;Wu, M.;Rodriguez, A.;Dorrestein, P.;Bolnick, D.

2026-06-26 Molecular Biology 10.64898/2026.06.25.734390 medRxiv
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Untargeted metabolomics offers a powerful lens for quantifying high-dimensional phenotypic variation within and among species in nature, but has yet to be widely adopted in evolutionary ecology. Some important initial questions are whether metabolome composition differs among populations, and to what extent such variation is genetic or plastic. Here, we use untargeted liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry to characterize the relative abundance of 5,939 molecular features of the threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus) liver metabolome. Native lake populations differ in metabolome composition, reflecting effects of sex, size, geography, and population ecotype (benthic versus limnetic). Stickleback from these lakes were translocated to found new populations in nine recently fishless lakes, permuting fish ecotypes across benthic and limnetic lake habitats. Several generations later, metabolomes in these experimental populations reflect effects both of their genetic ancestry (e.g., taurocholic acid, a cholane steroid bile acid, was elevated in limnetic-ancestries), as well as their present habitat (e.g., acylcarnitines). Additionally, ecotypes transplanted into a habitat to which they were maladapted exhibited a distinctive metabolomic profile. We conclude that stickleback exhibit both heritable and plastic among-population differences in liver metabolome, which could represent an important phenotypic basis of rapid evolution, population divergence, and perhaps local adaptation.

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Field-derived temperature correction compromises eDNA-based abundance inference

Ogonowski, M.; Gerdes, Z.

2026-07-03 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.03.735744 medRxiv
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Environmental DNA (eDNA) has emerged as a promising tool for estimating fish abundance, yet linking eDNA concentration to true density remains a significant challenge in seasonal systems, where the signal is strongly influenced by temperature. We investigated whether eDNA can serve as an abundance index for three-spined stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus) in four coastal bays of the Baltic Sea (5.7-20.5{degrees}C, April-July 2023), by pairing eDNA sampling with two trap types of contrasting catchability. Light traps capture fish by phototactic attraction during darkness, so their catchability is driven primarily by night duration rather than temperature, while benthic traps respond to temperature through the same activity-driven mechanism as eDNA production. The temperature sensitivity of eDNA estimated from field data was far higher than physiological expectation (Q10 = 12.4, against a maximum metabolic rate benchmark of Q10 = 3.5), indicating that the field temperature signal reflects ecological change in addition to metabolism. We then compared how well three eDNA predictors tracked a combined trap-based abundance index: uncorrected eDNA, eDNA corrected with the temperature response constrained to the laboratory metabolic rate (a first-principles correction), and eDNA corrected with the response estimated from the field data. Uncorrected and first-principles-corrected eDNA were both strong predictors of abundance (standardised slopes of 0.45 and 0.43), whereas the field-corrected predictor was not (0.08). Uncorrected and first-principles-corrected eDNA performed comparably because temperature and abundance increased together over the season; the first-principles correction is nonetheless preferable, as it remains reliable when this covariation is unknown a priori. We conclude that estimating a temperature correction from field data should be avoided in seasonal eDNA monitoring, because it removes the abundance signal together with the temperature effect and assumes a stability in abundance that cannot be verified without independent reference data.

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Biochemical Indicators of Atlantification and Diapause Strategy in Arctic Copepods Point to a Decrease in Copepod-mediated Carbon Sequestration

Hwang, J.; Lutier, M.; Dinh, K. V.; Borga, K.; Edwards, B. R.

2026-07-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.13.738257 medRxiv
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Arctic ecosystems are critically endangered by rising temperatures and changing hydrography, especially the intrusion of increasingly warm water from the Atlantic Ocean known as Atlantification. In addition to housing fragile biodiversity, Arctic copepods and their lipids play a crucial role in cycling carbon by transporting carbon into the deep ocean through their diapausing behaviors. Here, we explored the lipidomes of the Arctic copepod Calanus glacialis, collected from three fjords around Svalbard during November 2022 when C. glacialis are known to be in diapause. These three field sites provide a natural laboratory experiment, as they are influenced by different water masses with varying degrees of Atlantic water, and experience vast differences in sea ice coverage over the year. These environmental differences were clearly reflected in the lipidomic analysis, with stations influenced most by Atlantic Warm Water having the lowest total lipid concentrations and the lowest accumulation of storage lipids necessary for entering diapause. Membrane lipids were a significant proportion of the Svalbard copepod lipidomes, with the highest ratios observed at the Atlantified site. The high membrane lipid and high triacylglycerol concentrations were interpreted as signs of active feeding. This was further corroborated by fatty acid composition analysis, which revealed dietary biomarkers of carnivory at Atlantified sites. The copepods from the site most insulated from Atlantic influence had more than double the amount of storage lipids per individual and fatty acids associated with diatom biomass, indicating assimilation in the spring. Ultimately, the decrease in lipid content observed in association with Atlantification around Svalbard will impact diapause patterns, as Calanus species need 20-30% more WE to successfully complete diapause. In turn, this will impact the magnitude of carbon sequestration through the seasonal lipid pump, not to mention having radiating effects through the Arctic food web where Calanus glacialis plays an important role. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=131 SRC="FIGDIR/small/738257v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (49K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@fc9321org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1f6336org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@aaa3a1org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@dcd2a8_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Response diversity inconsistently predicts functional robustness to simulated zooplankton extinctions

Ross, S. R. P.-J.; Suzuki, H.; Urabe, J.; Kass, J. M.

2026-06-22 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.19.733370 medRxiv
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1Ecosystem functioning can be maintained in species-rich communities even under fairly severe perturbations. This is because communities with high richness include variation both in species functional roles (functional diversity) and in their responses to environmental changes (response diversity). Response diversity has been proposed as a key mechanism underpinning the stabilising role of biodiversity in variable environments. However, less understood is the role of response diversity in stabilising communities against perturbations and thus preserving ecosystem function. Here, we employ community data from 76 reservoirs across the broad latitudinal gradient of the Japanese archipelago to show that zooplankton assemblages with higher variability in responses to environmental variables can retain functional diversity as species are removed, but that the result depends on the variable examined. We combine empirically derived occurrence data for 47 zooplankton species with biotic and abiotic variables in a joint species distribution model to derive species-specific environmental responses, then measure response diversity to environmental axes including fish community structure and water temperature. We also measure functional trait diversity of zooplankton assemblages and simulate sequential species extinctions, capturing the extinction thresholds beyond which half the functional diversity is lost. Finally, we combine these data streams to show that response diversity can predict higher functional robustness in zooplankton assemblages, but not consistently. The role of response diversity in predicting functional robustness was contingent on the specific metric and environmental variable considered. We found that a balance of positive and negative species responses to water temperature was a significant predictor of robustness, though other metrics and environmental variables mainly yielded non-significant relationships. Overall, we show that response diversity can confer stability to perturbations such as species extinctions, and we demonstrate the utility of species distribution models for measuring response diversity, overcoming mechanistic data limitations and expanding the toolkit available for studying response diversity in natural systems.

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Genomic offset is not predictive of recent demographic trends in Lycaeides butterflies

Reis, G. A.; Forister, M.; Lucas, L.; Shapiro, A.; Fordyce, J.; Nice, C.; Gompert, Z.

2026-06-25 evolutionary biology 10.64898/2026.06.21.733565 medRxiv
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Genomic offset (GO) is increasingly used to predict population maladaptation risk under climate change, with larger offsets assumed to indicate greater vulnerability. Despite rapid adoption in conservation planning, it remains unclear how sensitive GO estimates are to key methodological choices, including SNP set composition, genotype-environment association (GEA) methods, and the specific GO metric used. Empirical validation against observed population dynamics also remains limited. Here, we evaluate the methodological robustness and predictive performance of GO using multidecadal demographic monitoring data from Lycaeides butterflies, a system with short generation times and high fecundity that may facilitate rapid adaptive responses. GO estimates were broadly consistent across SNP sets, regardless of composition or size, with climate-associated and randomly selected SNPs yielding largely concordant values. Consistency across GEA methods was moderate and depended on the SNP set used. In contrast, GO metrics differed substantially in the magnitude of maladaptation estimated, suggesting they capture distinct biological signals and should not be treated as interchangeable. Crucially, GO was a poor predictor of observed population trends, regardless of SNP set composition, GO metric, or GEA method, both at sites used to fit GEA models and when extrapolated to independent demographic sites. These findings suggest that, while GO provides a valuable conceptual framework for assessing potential maladaptation, its quantitative estimates and predictive power are sensitive to methodological choices and species-specific biological context. We therefore urge careful alignment of GO metric assumptions with conservation objectives, along with rigorous empirical validation, before GO estimates are used to inform management decisions.

8
Assessing planktivorous fish as vectors of a plankton parasite

Lampadaridis, N. D.; Herrera-Castillo, C. M.; Ebert, D.

2026-07-10 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.09.737450 medRxiv
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Predators are often considered regulators of disease in prey populations, a concept central to the "healthy herd hypothesis". This hypothesis suggests that by preferentially removing infected individuals, predators can reduce parasite prevalence. However, predators may also act as disease vectors, facilitating the spread of parasites. We investigated whether stickleback fish (Gasterosteus aculeatus) can act as vectors for the transmission of the obligate bacterial parasite Pasteuria ramosa to its Daphnia host, a widespread freshwater zooplanktor. We fed infected D. magna to sticklebacks, and subsequently analysed faecal samples for the presence, viability, and infectivity of parasite transmission stages (= spores). We recovered approximately 60% of the consumed spores from fish faeces and these spores did not suffer from reduced infectivity to D. magna. Additionally, spores associated with sloppy feeding did not reduce infection rates. Thus, consumption of infected hosts by fish does not eliminate the parasite, but in contrary, may contribute to the spread and persistence of P. ramosa in natural populations, potentially influencing parasite dynamics in natural freshwater ecosystems.

9
Limited horizontal transmission of an obligate, free-living bacterial symbiont

Sullivan, L.; Kelly, S. E.; Hunter, M. S.

2026-06-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.25.734684 medRxiv
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Nutritional symbionts can be essential for their animal hosts. The bacterial symbiont of the leaffooted bug, Leptoglossus zonatus, Caballeronia, is acquired from the environment each generation in the 2nd instar. The symbiont is critical for L. zonatus: aposymbiotic bugs are unable to reproduce. We hypothesized that symbiotic bugs excrete Caballeronia where juveniles might find and consume them. We inoculated L. zonatus with GFP-labelled Caballeronia and examined feces of each life stage. We found that Caballeronia is excreted almost exclusively in the adult stage. We then asked if 2nd instar nymphs could acquire Caballeronia from feces. Nymphs were provided with a) feces from adults fed GFP-labelled Caballeronia, b) GFP-Caballeronia in culture, or c) water only. We found that feces-fed bugs had similar rates of symbiont acquisition to those fed Caballeronia in culture, indicating that feces can be a source of Caballeronia for L. zonatus. However, compared to culture fed individuals, bugs fed feces had reduced survivorship and required longer to develop, and surviving adults had reduced mass. Bacterial motility assays showed that in contrast to cultured Caballeronia cells, Caballeronia in feces were non-motile. These results show suggest that feces can be a source of Caballeronia, at least in some environments, however transmission mode can influence success of the offspring.

10
Individual-level traits outweigh neighborhood and landscape level factors for frugivorous insect parasites in small forest patches

Back, T. C.; Miller, N. R.; Yang, S.

2026-06-25 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.24.734278 medRxiv
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Frugivorous insect larvae are dependent on fruiting plants for development, leading to complex host-parasite interactions that may be influenced by many factors at various scales. We compared the relative effects of factors at the individual, neighborhood, and landscape scales in forest patches. Our results suggest that in areas like upstate New York, where agricultural land uses are dominant, individual scale factors are the most influential. Specifically, parasitism increased with host fruit crop size, but was not associated with host species richness or proximity to forest edge. Notably, the most parasitized hosts were non-native species, including Frangula alnus Mill. (Glossy Buckthorn), indicating a potential role of invasive species to shape host-parasite interactions in our system. Our results underscore the importance of host-specific traits in structuring parasitism patterns and suggest management could consider both the ecological context of host traits and the influence of invasive species at multiple scales.

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Navigating the salinity gradient: Individual variation in habitat use and migration of European eel revealed by otolith microchemistry

Jacobson, P.; Spotowitz, L.; Heimbrand, Y.; Myrenas, E.; Gemert, R. v.; Sundin, J.

2026-06-25 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.24.734179 medRxiv
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Knowledge regarding variation in habitat use among individuals is crucial for understanding population dynamics and for management and conservation measures. This is especially important for diadromous fishes that shift between habitats, being affected by external pressures and environmental change in different habitats over ontogeny. Herer, we assessed individual variation in habitat use of European eel along a salinity gradient, ranging from fully marine to freshwater in northern Europe, using otolith microchemistry data from >3600 eel together with established time-series segmentation and clustering methods. We show that eel display high degree of individual variation in habitat use. Assigned life-histories included coastal resident, freshwater resident, and coastal and freshwater habitat shifting individuals. Coastal resident eels were observed in a large range of salinities. Given the widespread occurrence of migration barriers in freshwater, it is unknown whether the coastal resident eel preferred that habitat, or if it was the only available habitat for them. Our findings nonetheless highlight the need to include coastal habitats when assessing population development and silver eel production of the critically endangered European eel.

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Interspecific variation in reproductive and foraging traits for raptors breeding in Norway

Sandvik Halgunset, E.; Mellard, J.

2026-06-29 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.28.734957 medRxiv
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Arctic and Boreal raptor communities will continue to be affected by borealization and other climate change related processes, providing a challenge for ecologists predicting future sates. However, by using community assembly theory and species traits, future communities may be predictable. In this study, we analyzed variation in reproduction traits as a consequence of diet specialization for 29 raptors, 2 skuas and 3 corvids. We assessed and implemented foraging traits for specialists and generalists into predator-prey models from which successful invasion conditions were derived. Specialist raptors produced larger clutch sizes, had a higher proportion of fledged per clutch and also expressed more variation compared to generalist raptors. These results suggest a relationship between diet specialization and reproductive traits which was also observed within phylogenetic orders. Specialist owls (Strigiformes) produced higher clutch sizes with a larger clutch range compared to generalist owls. The same pattern was observed for falcons (Falconiformes). No clear difference in reproduction was observed for specialist and generalist hawks, kites and eagles (Accipitriformes). Corvids expressed clutch sizes similar to that of specialist raptors while having the lowest proportion of fledged per clutch. Differences in foraging traits between specialists and generalists could be distinguished using functional response curves. A predator-prey model parameterized with foraging trait data showed that a generalist can coexist with a resident specialist if it has access to prey unavailable to the resident specialist. Otherwise, the native specialist outcompetes the invading generalist due to foraging efficiency. The combined empirical and theoretical findings in this study show how diet specialization affects both reproduction and the potential invasion success of raptors.

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Temperature and ecomorphology linked to blood pathogen incidence in neotropical amphibians

Xavier, J. P. d. O.; Almeida-Silva, D.; Marcili, A.; Speranca, M. A.; Jordao, F. T.; Cabral, A. D.; Verdade, V. K.

2026-07-08 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.07.736756 medRxiv
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While emerging diseases pose a global threat to amphibians, the dynamics of understudied vector-borne blood pathogens remain poorly understood. Pathogen occurrence is driven by a combination of environmental, ecological, and phylogenetic factors, yet how these drivers shape blood pathogen communities in tropical amphibians is largely unknown. In this study, we used molecular screening and phylogenetic linear models (PGLMMs) to evaluate how climate and ecomorphology influence the incidence of three blood pathogen groups (Trypanosomatidae, Hepatozoon, and Rickettsia) in wild anurans from a protected area in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. Among 93 individuals sampled, over 93% were infected with at least one pathogen. Trypanosomatidae was the most common (76.3%), followed by Rickettsia (69.9%) and Hepatozoon (16.1%). Pathogen responses to temperature were contrasting: Hepatozoon occurrence increased in warmer periods, while Trypanosomatidae declined. Furthermore, rheophilic species showed a lower probability of Rickettsia infection, providing the first evidence that microhabitat use influences blood pathogen dynamics in amphibians. Our findings demonstrate that hemoparasites prevalence is driven by a multifaceted interplay of variables, highlighting that conservation strategies must account for these pathogen-specific responses to habitat use and environmental change, even within protected areas.

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Urbanization effects are trait-specific and city-dependent across a widespread spider's global range

Vanthournout, B.; Dahirel, M.; Chuang, A.; De Wolf, K.; D'haenekint, N.; Abihssira-Garcia, I. S.; Alicea-Serrano, A. M.; Andersen, M.; Anderson, H.; Aviles, L.; Barnett, J. B.; Ba?ar?r, E.; Beatman, T. R.; Bechsgaard, J.; Bilde, T.; Biundo, C. E.; Boles, J. C.; Brandt, E. E.; Chakraborty, S.; Coonfield, A.; Croci, S.; Cuff, J. P.; Driesen, M.; Echeverri, S.; Engeseth, K. R.; Escalante, I.; Esposito, L. A.; Fischer, A.; Foley, S.; Frutiger, M. J.; Gartly, R.; Garzoli, L.; Gorneau, J.; Grieves, L.; Guevara, J.; Haberkern, A.; Haddad, C.; Hanslin, F.; Hesselberg, T.; Hirschkorn, C.; Hung, E.; Isa

2026-06-22 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.19.733406 medRxiv
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Urban environments impose strong selective pressures through biotic and abiotic factors, driving changes in behavior, physiology, and morphology. Yet, responses vary across taxa and cities, and it remains unclear which traits respond consistently and what factors moderate this variation. We addressed these questions using the widespread European garden spider (Araneus diadematus) as a model, measuring size, color, and web-building traits along urban-rural transects in 22 cities across its distribution range. Using a meta-analytic framework, we assessed how city-specific characteristics influenced trait variation. Urbanization consistently reduced relative abdomen surface area, a proxy for body condition. Exploratory meta-regressions suggest that web-building response was predicted by temperature: compared to their non-urban surroundings, urban webs are larger in colder regions and smaller in warmer regions. In contrast, body size and abdomen brightness varied among cities without clear environmental predictors. These findings show that urbanization effects are trait- and context-dependent, likely influenced by local factors such as heat island intensity, microclimate, or prey availability. Linking within- and between-city variation will improve understanding of species phenotypic responses to urban environments.

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Discovery and implications of a novel, visual-attracting trap for wood-boring beetles (Curculionidae: Scolyidini): beetle response behaviors and underlying mechanisms

Mizell, R. F.

2026-06-26 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.22.733798 medRxiv
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Xylosandrus crassiusculus (Motschulsky), the granulate ambrosia beetle, was one of the first highly-destructive ambrosia beetles introduced into the southern U.S in the 1970s where it was found in South Carolina (Kovach 1986). The Redbay ambrosia beetle, Xyleborus glabratus Eichhoff, was first detected in the U.S. in South Georgia in 2002. This beetle and its associated fungi, the laurel wilt fungus Raffaelea laurelensis and others have caused substantial destruction to native redbay (Persea borbonia) in GA, SC, FL and elsewhere. This beetle-pathogen complex also poses a threat to commercial avocado production in the U.S., Central and South America as well as to valuable other Persea spp. and related plants (Laureacea) that are known hosts. As an addition here, 10 years of the spring appearances (Fig.1) of X. crassiusculus in North Florida is offered for future comparisons. A second unusual appearance is the finding and working with UV mulch and ethanol, as a surprising attraction of X. crassiusculus and other ambrosia beetles including X. glabratus. It was also found that the ambrosia beetles do not respond to yellow and green as expected by most. Also, adding burlap was found to be attractive (increases dead and dying appearing trees) as is silver metallic like UV mulch, while camouflage (camo) was found to work like yellow and green. These occurrences led to the invention and development of UV mulch with new traps to better monitor ambrosia beetles. New traps led to new uses for yellow, green and camo to monitor and decrease damage and losses from ambrosia beetles. The data are presented as evaluated and appear in the figures, discussion and a supplemental section. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=139 SRC="FIGDIR/small/733798v1_fig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (30K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1006101org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1e0a3d6org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1244d1borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@423cb7_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG O_FLOATNOFigure 1:C_FLOATNO Relative timing of annual emergence of Xylosandrus crassiusculus in north Florida. Collected over 10 years using 5 Baker traps with a 10% ethanol/water solution. Data are from years as marked. Note: data from year 2003 was not collected. C_FIG

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Latitudinal effects on weight and age-dependent survival of red fox Vulpes vulpes

Willebrand, T.; Odden, M.; Ostbye, K.; Samelius, G.; Walton, Z.; Spong, G.; Englund, J.

2026-06-29 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.29.735157 medRxiv
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Age-dependent survival is central to understanding population dynamics and life-history evolution. We analysed carcass weight and age-at-harvest data from 6022 red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) collected across Sweden between 1967 and 1971 to evaluate latitudinal effects on body mass and age-dependent survival. Carcass weights decreased from south to north in both adults and sub-adults, contrary to Bergmann's rule, with southern foxes weighing approximately 1.27 times more than northern foxes. The latitudinal weight gradient exceeded the sex difference in both age classes, and no sex x region interaction was detected. The decrease in weight with latitude is consistent with reduced prey availability and harsher winter conditions in the north, which limit growth and body size during development. Using a Bayesian age-at-harvest model with region-specific population growth rates (lambda), we estimated age-dependent survival probabilities for four latitudinal regions and both sexes. Despite the strong latitudinal gradient in weight, survival did not show a corresponding pattern - regional differences were uncertain, with all credible intervals spanning zero. Regional population growth rates were consistent with slight decline in the north and near-stability in the south-central region, which suggests that body condition and population dynamics are coupled at the regional scale despite no survival gradient. The decoupling of body condition and survival across regions suggests that mortality patterns are similar across the latitudinal gradient. We discuss these patterns in terms of latitudinal productivity gradients, prey availability, and life-history trade-offs in a widely distributed carnivore.

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Rapid shallow-water saturation and deep-water expansion of an invasive freshwater ecosystem engineer in a deep European lake

Hofstetter, L.; Mueller, T. M.; Bourqui, M.; Burlakova, L. E.; Cristante, Z. C.; Karatayev, A. Y.; Kessler, S.; Narwani, A.; Santos, J. L.; Sturm, L.; Wellauer, N.; Spaak, P.; Weber, A. A.-T.

2026-06-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.06.26.734794 medRxiv
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Quagga mussels (Dreissena rostriformis bugensis) are ecosystem engineers that can alter nutrient cycling, benthic-pelagic coupling, and food-web structure in deep lakes. Although their invasion trajectories are well documented in the Laurentian Great Lakes in North America, depth-specific population dynamics remain poorly resolved in recently invaded European perialpine lakes. We analyzed five annual lake-wide surveys (2021-2025) from 54 stations spanning 2.4-253 m depth in Lake Constance to quantify changes in quagga mussel density, biomass, and shell-length distribution. Contrary to expectations of lake-wide exponential growth, shallow-water populations (< 20 m) showed no significant increase during the study period and appear to have reached carrying capacity before monitoring began. In contrast, densities increased monotonically at intermediate depths (40-125 m), indicating ongoing expansion into deeper strata. Mean shell length declined with depth, and size distributions in shallow waters shifted toward larger individuals, consistent with a transition from active recruitment to somatic growth of established mussels. Compared with the Laurentian Great Lakes, Lake Constance already has substantially higher shallow-water biomass, whereas deeper invasion trajectories are broadly similar. These results show that quagga mussel invasion in deep European lakes can combine rapid littoral saturation with slower profundal expansion, complicating direct transfer of predictions from the Great Lakes. Continued depth-stratified monitoring will be essential for anticipating future ecosystem effects in perialpine lakes.

18
Behavioral metabolic suppression confounds thermal performance estimates and climate vulnerability assessments in a marine ectotherm

Edgar, C.; Penfold, H.; Martinez, T.; Wells, C. D.

2026-07-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.13.738316 medRxiv
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O_LIThermal performance curves (TPCs) predict species vulnerability to climate change, but standard respirometry assumes that measured oxygen consumption reflects physiological state. Sessile invertebrates that retract their tentacles and contract under thermal stress violate this assumption, with unmeasured consequences for thermal limit estimates. C_LIO_LIWe tested this behavioral confound in an undescribed cold-water intertidal anemone (Urticina sp.) in the Northwest Atlantic by integrating a negative binomial encounter-rate regression, a maximum entropy species distribution model (both from effort-corrected iNaturalist data), and closed-chamber respirometry across seven temperatures (1-30{degrees}C, 18 individuals, 126 trials). C_LIO_LIThe strongest distributional predictors were cloud cover and coastal urbanization, with a weaker association with winter minimum SST; direct evidence for warm-edge thermal limitation came from the experiment. Anemone expansion state (scored 0-1 from fully closed to fully expanded) was variable and without a clear trend across the coldest treatments but declined above 20{degrees}C before collapsing at the 30{degrees}C treatment, which proved lethal to all individuals. C_LIO_LIStandard TPC models extrapolated the thermal maximum far beyond the lethal bracket ([~]74{degrees}C symmetric Gaussian; 45.9{degrees}C asymmetric). A Bayesian multiplicative model that separated physiology from behavior showed that physiology continued to track temperature while expansion state declined above 20{degrees}C; a fully expanded anemone respired about twice as fast as a fully closed one at the same temperature. The decline in measured respiration is therefore both behavioral and physiological, and disentangling the two requires recording expansion state alongside oxygen consumption. C_LIO_LIBecause a closed anemone cannot feed or exchange gases, the ecologically relevant thermal limit is the temperature at which the animal can no longer maintain its normal expanded posture, not a curve-fitted thermal maximum. That behavioral threshold leaves warm-edge populations within a few degrees of functional thermal failure. C_LIO_LIFuture thermal physiology studies of organisms capable of modulating oxygen consumption through behavior should incorporate quantitative behavioral covariates to separate physiological from behavioral components of the metabolic response. C_LI

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Small-scale within-drainage spawning behavior causes population differentiation in Atlantic salmon

Di Giorgio, F.; Oliveira Carvalho, C.; Sjöstedt, J.; Lind, M. I.; Gollnisch, R.; Persson, A.; Calles, O.; Shry, S.; Nilsson, P. A.

2026-07-10 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.07.03.736392 medRxiv
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Understanding the genetic structure of keystone species within river networks is essential for effective conservation and management. While population differentiation of anadromous species often occurs between river systems, less research has been conducted on differentiation within rivers with smaller catchment areas. In this study, we investigated the population genetic structure of wild Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) across the small-scale river Ronne [a] system in southernmost Sweden using Restriction-site Associated DNA sequencing (RADseq). Although the Admixture analysis did not detect clearly defined genetic clusters, significant pairwise FST values and DAPC revealed emerging population differentiation among the Ronne [a] tributaries. The observed patterns are consistent with a system characterized by connectivity, where genetic flow is present but can be reduced by behavioral and ecological factors such as spawning homing behavior and selective movements. These findings suggest that, despite overall connectivity, Atlantic salmon populations in the Ronne [a] catchment area may function as partially independent sub-populations. This highlights the importance of conservation and management strategies in fragmented river systems to consider population genetic structure to support resilient salmon populations under ongoing anthropogenic pressures.

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Movement strategies reveal the success of mammals in urban areas

Grabow, M.; Scholz, C.; Roeleke, M.; Stillfried, M.; Kimmig, S. E.; Weh, C.; Boerner, K.; Blaum, N.; Jeltsch, F.; Ortmann, S.; Kramer-Schadt, S.

2026-07-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.07.13.738202 medRxiv
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Various hypotheses have been proposed to explain why some species persist or even flourish in urban areas. Yet, despite its central role in determining when and where animals encounter resources, disturbance, and risk, movement behaviour remains an overlooked mechanism of urban success. In urban areas, human activities are strongly periodic, i.e. predictable in space and time. This may favour species able to adjust their behaviour to predictable cycles of resources and risks in space and time. Here, we tested this hypothesis and tracked movement behaviour along an urbanisation gradient in three mammal species with different urban success: red fox (Vulpes vulpes), an urban dweller; raccoon (Procyon lotor), an invasive urban dweller; and wild boar (Sus scrofa), an urban utiliser. We analysed periodicity in movement behaviour and investigated whether increasing urbanisation is associated with periodic reorganisation of activity timing, space use, and further analysed alterations in habitat selection along the urbanisation gradient. Our results show that foxes aligned their movement behaviour with human activity, having stronger day-night contrasts and more repeatable space use than their rural counterparts. Urban raccoons showed a contrasting strategy; they were more active during the day, without changes in their movement routines under increasing urbanisation, suggesting a flexible strategy that explains their urban success. In contrast, wild boars reduced routine movement behaviours with increasing urbanisation, consistent with their occurrence in less predictable suburban environments and avoidance of city centres. In summary, our results suggest that movement behaviour may be a key mechanism enabling animals to persist in cities, revealing distinct behavioural strategies for coping with urban environments.